Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 3.317746 3.962681 4.682449 5.542768 6.540466 7.658316 9.002779
2025-10-19 2.453548 3.294161 4.329659 5.688551 7.413069 9.515782 12.259220
2025-10-26 1.859520 2.757982 3.960389 5.664218 7.989050 11.019102 15.229550
2025-11-02 1.406485 2.281475 3.541962 5.451811 8.224753 12.047671 17.645273
2025-11-09 1.090952 1.920858 3.198831 5.254213 8.405532 12.966305 19.949549
2025-11-16 0.901957 1.709307 3.028355 5.263505 8.855430 14.273664 22.888671
2025-11-23 0.756599 1.536478 2.882821 5.276350 9.290536 15.575164 25.908827
2025-11-30 0.631533 1.371544 2.718593 5.225090 9.600759 16.692513 28.720118
2025-12-07 0.504705 1.174951 2.463110 4.973316 9.535114 17.186793 30.565831
2025-12-14 0.427527 1.060275 2.337445 4.930888 9.814114 18.254723 33.409298
2025-12-21 0.366293 0.965713 2.233787 4.911340 10.123750 19.389142 36.437497
2025-12-28 0.342306 0.949599 2.285111 5.196611 11.019706 21.606672 41.473025
2026-01-04 0.307604 0.902399 2.266872 5.345981 11.685328 23.491046 46.110144
2026-01-11 0.282387 0.873399 2.284012 5.571093 12.522003 25.754871 51.594147
2026-01-18 0.245755 0.806020 2.202859 5.573837 12.911450 27.215300 55.718899
2026-01-25 0.203218 0.711345 2.040434 5.372595 12.855986 27.819377 58.290391
2026-02-01 0.168256 0.628726 1.891944 5.180044 12.793061 28.394876 60.836034
2026-02-08 0.147685 0.584393 1.833068 5.190007 13.167434 29.861061 65.189640
2026-02-15 0.130012 0.544489 1.778754 5.202942 13.547543 31.363486 69.708314
2026-02-22 0.112527 0.500047 1.703655 5.152393 13.775312 32.563985 73.696700
2026-03-01 0.091626 0.436392 1.560688 4.903761 13.510281 32.700038 75.523946
2026-03-08 0.079546 0.402100 1.498465 4.861868 13.734903 33.901302 79.624398
2026-03-15 0.069634 0.373147 1.447155 4.842564 14.011923 35.235019 84.083162